Roffers Report

Thoughts and comments about the luxury real estate market in Sarasota, FL by Chad Roffers, PRESIDENT of SKY Sotheby’s International Realty.

Archive for March, 2007

Luxury Housing: The Silver Lining in a Stormy Market?

It wasn’t too long ago when speculators dove into the real estate market to turn a quick profit by flipping homes. While those days are dwindling as the market cools, the luxury residential market is proving to be the silver lining in a stormy market.

Why is this market holding strong? High-end buyers, buoyed by abundant wealth, and basking in increased business profits realized in 2006, are fueling demand for luxury homes.

“Strong corporate profits….and a global commodities boom helped grow fortunes and sparked a surge of demand for trophy homes in 2006,” said Waco Moore, Vice President of The Institute for Luxury Home Marketing in a Mortgage News Daily article in January 2007.

“Record Wall Street bonuses will jump-start 2007 luxury sale in New York,” predicted Moore, “and, we’ll see spillover into other markets as well.”

Luxury homes are just one example of the luxury goods and services in demand, Moore continued, citing record art house sales and waiting lists for custom-built yachts and private planes. “Around the world, from Russia to Great Britain,” he said, “there is a super rich group with wants, needs and the wealth to satisfy those desires.”

Luxury home developers are also forecasting a profitable future in the luxury home market. In a Barron’s Online article, developer William Zeckenorf, who is building one of the most highly anticipated luxury buildings in New York City, stated, “From my vantage point, the super-luxury market is as strong as I’ve seen it.”

The reason for the market’s health, Zeckendorf, explained, is “There are very few great homes in this country, and an awful lot of people who have come into extraordinary wealth. In fact, there are now some 35,000 people in North America whose net worth, excluding their primary residences, exceed $30 million, according to a study by consultant Capgemini and Merrill Lynch.”

Zeckendorf’s optimism was echoed by John Karevoll in a January 2007 Naples News article. Karevoll is an analyst with DataQuick Information Systems Inc., which tracks the housing industry.

In a January 2007 New York Times article, Stribling Private Brokerage Director Kirk Henckels stated, “It’s not just the Wall Street bonuses—there is just so much liquidity in the market.” Henckels, who released a report on the luxury residential market, said the high-end market has been setting the pace for the rest of the market in the new year.

The Stribling report showed 2006 as a record-setting year in co-ops, in particular those above $5 million. Records filed with the New York City Department of Finance showed 38 January sales of co-ops, condos, and town houses for at least $5 million reported as of mid-February, with a combined value of $382 million. In January 2006, only 16 such sales, worth $124 million, were reported by mid-February.

In addition to steady purchases of luxury co-ops, condos and town houses, high-end buyers are also gravitating to unique, exclusive vacation homes located in markets where growth is limited.

In the span of a single day in January 2007, buyers consumed 25 condo units at the Club at Spanish Peaks in Montana, a location where no more than 49 units were planned near the 18th hole of the Tom Weiskoff-designed golf course and quad lift, according to an April 2007 article in Worth magazine.

Comments

Property Tax Relief

Politicians are feeling the heat from Florida property owners who are fed up with escalating tax bills and are taking decisive measures to address the issue.  Make no mistake about it; it would take years to address the matter had the State continued to see documentary tax revenues maintain 2005 levels.  Fortunately or unfortunately depending on how you look at the issue, doc stamp revenues were down nearly 30% in the last twelve months forcing our elected officials to acknowledge their part in the factors driving real estate values in our State.  Property taxes are certainly not the only cause of the correction in real estate values but certainly are a major contributing factor.

While the proposed solution to eliminate property taxes and increase sales tax on retail purchases is not perfect, it appears to be the most viable option.  This change will remove a significant cloud of uncertainty from the minds of consumers and business owners deciding to stay or move to or within Florida and will help restore order to the real estate marketplace.  Florida is a great place to live but we must remain competitive with other states and international destinations.  I am convinced that our leaders have figured this out and the resulting action will position the State favorably in the months and years to come.

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